FTSE350

27 June 2011
Market Report

Compass Group PLC
CPG.L

Sector Travel & Leisure
Last closing price
(27/06/2011) (p)
597.0
52 week High/Low (p) 602.5/497.8
Market Cap (£bn) 11.24
Sector weight age by
Market Cap (%)
Average Volume (mn) 3.28
P/E ratio (TTM) 15.84
Sector P/E
ration (TTM)
14.06

TTM: Trailing Twelve Month

Daily chart

Daily chart (CPG.L)

Business background and investment rationale

Compass Group PLC is a contract food service company providing a range of services to clients in 50 countries. It operates across four geographic segments: North America, Continental Europe, the UK and the rest of the world.

Strong revenue growth and expansion in margins

In the interim management statement announced on 18 May 2011, Compass organic revenue growth increased by 5.5% and constant revenue increased by 10% for first half of the year. The group maintained strong progress in driving efficiency and has added another 20 basis points to the operating margin. The company continues to see positive increases in new customers both in food services and the fast-growing support services business. Retention rates remained high in the first half of the year with a group average rate of 94%.

Mergers and acquisitions

Compass identified a significant market opportunity to organically grow its core food service business where it can provide food and soft support services. In addition, the firm continues to find growth in emerging economies through acquisitions and buy-outs and is looking to invest £300m in acquisitions for the year. Last week Compass acquired Shing Hin Catering Group Ltd in Hong Kong for £12.7m. The acquisition will strengthen Compass’ existing foodservices business within the Education and Business & Industry sectors in Hong Kong and will reinforce the platform for further development into the fast growing Chinese market. In April, Compass acquired two companies Vipul Facility Management Pvt Ltd and Ultimate Hospitality Services Pvt Ltd in India for £7.9m. Both the companies provide an excellent platform to develop the group’s support services capabilities in the region and enable Compass to offer an extended range of services to its clients.

Technical outlook

On the daily chart, Compass is trading at the top of the channel between 570.0p and 600.0p with higher lows indicating an uptrend in the stock. MACD (moving average convergence/divergence) is positive and 12 day EMA (exponential moving average) has crossed above 26 day EMA indicating an uptrend at the 52-week high of 602.5p. 14 day RSI (relative strength index) is above 50 showing strength in trend. 14 day positive DMI (directional moving index) is above 14 day negative DMI and 14 day ADX (average directional index) is near 18 indicating a consolidation. The stock is also above 20 day and 50 day EMA which supports the strength in trend. For a higher move the stock has to climb above 600.0p. The stock has immediate resistance near 600.0p and support near 570.0p.

Trading strategy

The stock can be bought around 585.0p with a profit target 618.0p and stop loss of 545.0p.

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Stocks Update

BATS PLC

BATS is consolidating around 2650.0p making a low of 2627.0p for the week. MACD is negative and 12 day EMA is below 26 EMA indicating a weakness in the uptrend. 14 day RSI is trading near 50 indicating a consolidation. 14 day positive DMI is below 14 day negative DMI and 14 day ADX is at 18, indicating consolidation in the stock. The stock has also crossed below 20 day EMA indicating short term weakness in the positive trend. Looking at weakness in the uptrend the stock should be a hold with the same profit target of 2565.0p and a stop loss of 2889.0p.

Admiral PLC

Admiral is in a negative trend after the stock made a low of 1622.0p last week near the profit target of 1620.0p. Momentum oscillator MACD is negative and 12 day EMA is below 26 day EMA indicating a negative trend. 14 day RSI is below 40 indicating a negative trend in the stock. 14 day positive DMI is below 14 day negative DMI, while 14 day ADX is near 20, indicating a negative trend in the stock. The stock should be a hold with the same profit target of 1620.0p and stop loss of 1830.0p.

G4S PLC

G4S’s negative trend strengthened last week after the stock made a new low of 272.9p. MACD has turned negative and in MACD 12 day EMA is below 26 EMA indicating a weakness in the positive trend. 14 day RSI is trading below 40 indicating a negative trend. 14 day positive DMI is below 14 day negative DMI and 14 day ADX is at 18, indicating consolidation in the stock. The stock should be a hold with the same profit target of 269.0p and a stop loss of 303.8p.

Fidessa Group PLC

Fidessa’s positive trend is weakening after the stock made a new low of 1874.0p.  MACD is positive and in MACD 12 day EMA has crossed below 26 day EMA supporting a weakness in the positive trend. 14 day RSI is trading below 60 making a lower low from the level of 70, indicating the stock is overbought. The stock is above 20 day and 200 day EMA, which supports a positive trend. 14 day positive DMI is just above 14 day negative DMI and 14 day ADX is at 34 supporting a weakness in the uptrend. The stock should be a hold with the same profit target of 1830.0p and a stop loss of 2097.0p.

Aggreko Group PLC

On the daily chart, Aggreko’s positive trend has weakened as the stock made a new low of 1807.0p. Momentum oscillator MACD is positive and 12 day EMA is below 26 day EMA supporting a weakness in the positive trend. 14 day RSI has fallen below 50 from above 70 indicating the stock is overbought. Both the indicators have made lower lows with a falling stock price also supporting a weakness in the positive trend. 14 day positive DMI is below 14 day negative DMI, while 14 day ADX is near 22 indicating a weakness in the positive trend. The stock should be a hold with the same profit target of 1780.0p and a stop loss of 2033.0p.

Weir Group PLC

On the daily chart, the stock’s positive trend weakened after making a new 52-week high of 2095.0p which was not confirmed by a new high on 14 day RSI indicating the stock is overbought. Momentum oscillator MACD is positive but 12 day EMA is below 26 day EMA indicating a weakening in the positive trend. 14 day RSI is below 60 with lower highs indicating a weakness in the positive trend.14 day positive DMI is above 14 day negative DMI, while 14 day ADX is near 16, indicating a consolidation. The stock has immediate resistance at 1940.0p and support near 2095.0p. The stock should be a hold with the same profit target of 1900.0p and a stop loss of 2156.0p.

Cookson Group PLC

On the daily chart, Cookson is trading below the key support level of 628.0p making a new low of 617.0p indicating a downtrend in the stock. MACD is negative and 12 day EMA is below 26 day EMA, indicating a negative trend. 14 day RSI is below 40 with both the indicators making lower highs confirming the negative trend in the stock.14 day positive DMI is below 14 day negative DMI while 14 day ADX is rising to 21, confirming the negative trend breakout below 628.0p. The stock is also below 200 day EMA indicating a strong negative trend in the stock. The stock should be a hold with same the profit target of 600.0p and a stop loss of 678.5p.

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