Market Report
5 August 2008
National Express Group PLC
NEX.L
Sector Travel & Leisure
Last closing price
(05/08/08) (p)
980.0
52 week High/Low (p) 1318/857
Market Cap (£bn) 1.484
Sector weight age by
Market Cap (%)
2.827
Average Volume (mn) 1.032
P/E ratio (TTM) 14.94
Industry P/E
ration (TTM)
0.10

TTM: Trailing Twelve Month

Daily chart (NEX.L)

Business Background and Investment rationale

National Express Group PLC is a public transport company with operations in United Kingdom, Spain and North America. The Company’s divisions include trains, buses and coaches. The network operates to more than 1,000 destinations within the United Kingdom, including all of the major United Kingdom airports.

Strong demand for bus and train services

National Express has focus on providing excellent value fares to drive revenue growth for its bus and train services as soaring fuel prices are encouraging travelers to switch from car to public transport. The company will gain more market share on British Airways announced domestic capacity reductions, and with car drivers seeing continued fuel pain on the London to Leeds/York/Newcastle/Edinburgh routes.

Fuel Hedging and improved operating efficiency

National express has hedge all its fuel for 2008 and 56% hedged for its total needs in 2009. Group is confident to recover additional fuel costs through a combination of innovative pricing mechanisms and improved operating efficiency. In UK, the integration of operations into a single division based in Birmingham will delivered annualized 11m cost savings. In Spain, successful integration of Continental Auto with Alsa will expands the range of products and services in existing businesses, and strengthen National express position in Spanish transport market.

Technical outlook

On daily chart NEX has retreat from low of 924.0p and cross above 20 day and 50 day exponential moving average indicating a bullish move. MACD is positive and 14 day RSI is above 50.0 showing strength in move. 14 day +DMI have cross above 14 day -DMI indicating a trend is forming upside. Stochastic oscillator is oversold and fast stochastic has above slow stochastic a weak buy signal is generated. Stock has first leg of support near 920.0p and if it breaches it has support near 850.0p. Stock has strong resistance near 1053.0p level and if it rise above resistance can found near 1140.0p.

Trading strategy

The stock can be sold around 957.0p with a profit target 1071.0p and stop loss of 909.0p (Hedge position: Short position in spread betting with £1.305 bet per point)


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Game Group PLC
GMG.L
Sector General Retailers
Last closing price
(05/08/08) (p)
267.5
52 week High/Low (p) 300/171
Market Cap (£mn) 938.43
Sector weight age by
Market Cap (%)
4.235
Average Volume (mn) 4.282
P/E ratio (TTM) 19.05
Industry P/E
ration (TTM)
0.42

TTM: Trailing Twelve Month

Daily chart (GMG.L)

Business Background and investment rationale

The Game Group plc operates retail outlets, which specialize in the retailing of computer software, video games and related products. Expansion through acquisition

Game group has expanded its business to Europe and Australia through acquisition of Game Station Limited (Gamestation) that enable group to geographically diverse store portfolio and well positioned to meet customer demand.The merger brings together the two largest specialist retailers of new and pre-owned video games (including new PC games), video games consoles and related accessories. Game now reckons cumulative Pre-tax synergies of about £7 m can be achieved fully three month earlier by Jan 31 2009 and £10 m by 2009/10 through this acquisition.

New products in pipeline

Strong pipeline of innovative software with some highly anticipated blockbuster titles scheduled for European release in the second half, such as sequels for FIFA, Need For Speed and Gears Of War. Game also anticipates the continued popularity of products such as Wii Fit, Brain Training and Guitar Hero will make them big contributors to the Christmas line-up. Game anticipated that installed base of 3rd generation hardware continues to grow at an unprecedented rate, fuelling the sale of higher margin software improving margin by 50 basis points to 100 bases points till January 2009. Game also plans to open a further 60 stores by Christmas.

Technical outlook

On daily chart stock is trading in a narrow channel with a positive slope between 250.0p and 275.0p and RSI, MACD and stochastic oscillator cross above negative slope indicating trend reversal. Trend is upside for the stock as it is trading above 20 day and 50 day EMA.RSI is above 50 and MACD is negative but 12 day EMA has cross above 26 day EMA supporting strength. Stock has strong resistance near 269.0p, on upside breakout above this level resistance can found near 300.0p. Support can be found near 233.0p

Trading strategy

The stock can be bought around 260.0p with a profit target 290.5p and stop loss of 247.0p (Hedge position: short position in spread betting with £4.807 bet per point)

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